Saturday, July 7, 2012

It Takes More Than Snarkiness And Compiling Gibberish

This from Tragic Illness on the new hero Mark Ellis:


Mark Ellis is on the verge of a two-year deal with the Dodgers.
Alright, I guess. We all know the second base market is dire, especially now that Aaron Hillhas returned to Arizona, and though Ellis is coming off a brutal .288 OBP and will be 35 this season, he’s long been regarded as a plus defender. I’d love to not give him two years, yet in a world where Willie Bloomquist is getting two-year pacts, you can see how that might be unavoidable. At least I’m sure he’s not getting a ton of money, though. Wait, what
Ellis’s deal with the Dodgers worth a little less than $4.5 million per year, over the two years.
…and there it is. (Ken Rosenthal now confirms the deal, two years, $8.75m.) Mark Ellis is coming off a .288 OBP and is the proud owner of a better wOBA than Jamey Carrollexactly one time going back to 2006, yet he’s going to pull down about a million dollars more per season than the Carroll contractwe didn’t even particularly like. Ellis was once a solid player with some pop, hitting double-digit homers each year between 2005-09, but that’s declined precipitously as he’s aged and been injured, averaging 33.5 days on the disabled list over the last four seasons. (h/t to pal Jay Jaffe on that stat.) Ellis is pretty one-dimensional now, since he doesn’t get on base well, doesn’t have a lot of power, and only has real value in his defense. Age and injuries – particularly leg injuries, which is what Ellis has had – can do a lot to diminish an infielder, so if Ellis suffers even a little with the glove, that’s going to make him a trouble spot, quickly. At least he’s not going to cost the Dodgers a draft pick, though the Rockies do pick up one on their end.
As you can imagine, the reaction on Twitter has been negative/sad/hilarious depending on your perspective.

AND THE SOLUTION IS:

7) Bring back 2B Jamey Carroll for two years and $4m.
This actually scares the hell out of me, and I don’t really like doing it, much as I like Carroll. He’s got absolutely zero power and he’ll be 38 in February; to be honest, I hate everything about this. That said, the second base market is absolutely god awful. My version of the Dodgers can neither afford nor count on Hill or Johnson, and Carroll at least offers on-base skills and decent enough defense. Along with Sellers, he’s also a fallback position in case Gordon flails or is injured; I don’t want to give Carroll two years, yet that’s probably what the market will demand. Ideally, he could get through one more year as a solid OBP guy, and then a better 2B option emerges for 2013, allowing Carroll to spend the second year as the utility guy he really ought to be.

DONT FORGET TO CHECK ON JAMEY'S STATS THIS YEAR.

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